Fabula
S2E21 · 18th and Potomac

Bartlet Confronts MS Poll Catastrophe

In the tense White House basement crisis room, accessed via Toby's code word, Joey Lucas delivers devastating Michigan poll results: 74% view MS as fatal, 71% reject a sick governor, with women over 55 overwhelmingly opposed, costing Florida and eroding Democratic/liberal support due to perceived lies. Staff futilely downplay as Bartlet humanizes by querying Kenny's name, then absorbs the blow, conceding 'They may be right' in raw defeat—Joey's blunt 'No, sir' to any good news marks a shattering turning point, exposing reelection's political death amid MS secrecy and Haitian chaos.

Plot Beats

The narrative micro-steps within this event

3

The devastating poll results are revealed: 74% believe MS is fatal, 71% wouldn't vote for a sick leader, and key demographics abandon Bartlet.

hope to despair ['White House basement']

Bartlet delivers the crushing line, 'They may be right,' acknowledging the political death sentence the numbers represent.

shock to resignation ['White House basement']

Joey confirms there's no good news in the poll, sealing the scene's tone of irreversible crisis.

last hope to finality ['White House basement']

Who Was There

Characters present in this moment

7
C.J. Cregg
primary

Grim realism laced with exhaustion

Already seated, agrees with Sam's minimization pre-polls, then delivers gut-punch analysis: 'You just lost Florida' and flags 74% fatal belief as worst stat, sharpening the blade.

Goals in this moment
  • Highlight most damaging metrics
  • Force confrontation with electoral reality
Active beliefs
  • Florida's loss is irreversible math
  • Public misperception of MS amplifies damage
Character traits
blunt strategic resolute
Follow C.J. Cregg's journey

Defensive skepticism cracking into grim acceptance

Sits tensely after arguing polls' meaninglessness to Joey via Kenny, listening as Josh reads the devastating Michigan results, his earlier defensive logic undermined by the raw numbers' onslaught.

Goals in this moment
  • Minimize poll impact through context arguments
  • Bolster team morale against bad data
Active beliefs
  • Polls lack true context without education
  • Bartlet's trust reservoir can offset hypotheticals
Character traits
defensive analytical idealistic
Follow Sam Seaborn's journey

Anxious dread masked by procedural focus

Puts on jacket pre-entry, uses 'Sagittarius' code, taps Joey's shoulder amid heavy sighs, then sits coiled as polls confirm doom, his anxiety palpable in the hush.

Goals in this moment
  • Secure entry and initiate briefing
  • Gauge Joey's data for strategic pivots
Active beliefs
  • Secrecy protocols are non-negotiable
  • Personal connections temper crisis brutality
Character traits
skeptical intense supportive
Follow Toby Ziegler's journey
Joey Lucas
primary

Somber detachment shielding professional duty

Seated somberly, avoids Toby's gaze initially, confirms no photocopies, then bluntly responds 'No, sir' to Bartlet's plea for good news, her data oracle role peaking in merciless honesty.

Goals in this moment
  • Deliver unvarnished poll truth
  • Uphold oath of no copies for secrecy
Active beliefs
  • Data demands raw presentation
  • No silver linings in catastrophe
Character traits
direct professional unflinching
Follow Joey Lucas's journey

resigned

enters with Leo, greeted by staff who rise, interrupts to ask how many know Kenny's last name, concedes 'They may be right' to MS being fatal, asks Joey if any good news

Goals in this moment
  • humanize the group amid crisis
  • concede political reality of MS diagnosis
Character traits
protective resolute self-aware principled
Follow Josiah Bartlet's journey

Calm reliability under scrutiny

Seated as Joey's interpreter, translates Sam's pre-poll defense to her, remains steady as his name sparks Bartlet's humanizing interrupt and Leo's dismissal, bridging amid the data storm.

Goals in this moment
  • Accurately convey communications
  • Maintain low profile in secrecy
Active beliefs
  • Interpretation ensures equity
  • Names foster unnecessary risks
Character traits
precise loyal discreet
Follow Kenny Lucas's journey

Stone-faced professionalism amid inner tension

Guards the basement door stoically, cracking it open only at Toby's 'Sagittarius' code, sealing the group inside for the poll revelation's unyielding containment.

Goals in this moment
  • Enforce access protocols rigidly
  • Protect confidentiality of high-stakes meeting
Active beliefs
  • Code words prevent leaks
  • Physical barriers safeguard national security
Character traits
disciplined impassive vigilant
Follow Secret Service …'s journey

Objects Involved

Significant items in this scene

1
Joey Lucas' Catastrophic Michigan Poll Results

Josh seizes and reads aloud from Joey's papers the Michigan poll's carnage—1,170 voters, 74% fatal MS view, 71% reject ill governor, women 55+ at 78% opposition, 62% Democrats/65% liberals bolt over lies—functioning as the unassailable evidence gutting reelection hopes, no photocopies preserving its volatile power.

Before: Held by Joey Lucas, original documents unphotocopied in …
After: Passed to Josh for reading, originals remain in …
Before: Held by Joey Lucas, original documents unphotocopied in secure basement.
After: Passed to Josh for reading, originals remain in room under no-copy oath, secrecy intact.

Location Details

Places and their significance in this event

1
White House Basement — Basement Office / Storage Sublevel

Code-locked basement chamber hosts the intimate seven-person huddle where Michigan polls are dissected in press-proof isolation, stairs descending into stale tension amplifies the ritual of defeat, symbolizing the administration's plunge into MS disclosure's electoral abyss amid external Haitian chaos.

Atmosphere Stifling hush thick with sighs and defeat, night shadows cloaking dread.
Function Fortified crisis vault for leak-proof poll autopsy.
Symbolism Subterranean crypt burying Bartlet's reelection pulse.
Access Secret Service guarded, 'Sagittarius' code only for cleared elite.
Dim night lighting from stairs Echoing door lock Close-seated scarred table huddle Elevator-adjacent descent

Narrative Connections

How this event relates to others in the story

What led here 2
Thematic Parallel medium

"Oliver's exposure of Abbey's interstate prescription violations mirrors the poll's exposure of Bartlet's MS—both reveal the administration's vulnerability through medical secrets."

Abbey Nurses Exhausted Sam, Babish Exposes Prescription Violations
S2E21 · 18th and Potomac
Thematic Parallel medium

"Oliver's exposure of Abbey's interstate prescription violations mirrors the poll's exposure of Bartlet's MS—both reveal the administration's vulnerability through medical secrets."

Oliver Exposes Dr. Bartlet's MS Prescription Violations
S2E21 · 18th and Potomac
What this causes 3
Character Continuity

"Bartlet's admission 'They may be right' about the political consequences of his MS diagnosis foreshadows Toby's later revelation of the same diagnosis to Donna, showing the ripple effect of the truth."

Toby Drops the MS Bombshell on Donna
S2E21 · 18th and Potomac
Thematic Parallel medium

"The poll revealing public distrust of Bartlet's concealed MS parallels Oliver Babish's exposure of Abbey's medical ethics violations—both show the cost of secrecy."

Abbey Nurses Exhausted Sam, Babish Exposes Prescription Violations
S2E21 · 18th and Potomac
Thematic Parallel medium

"The poll revealing public distrust of Bartlet's concealed MS parallels Oliver Babish's exposure of Abbey's medical ethics violations—both show the cost of secrecy."

Oliver Exposes Dr. Bartlet's MS Prescription Violations
S2E21 · 18th and Potomac

Key Dialogue

"C.J.: "You just lost Florida.""
"BARTLET: "They may be right.""
"BARTLET: "Joey, is there any good news there at all?" JOEY: "No, sir.""