Fabula
S2E3 · The Midterms

Leo Pivots to Midterm Conquest

Leo verifies the astonishing 81% approval rating from credible sources like CNN and USA Today, dismissing 'soft' doubts as Sam details Bartlet's 61% edge over GOP leaders. Ed and Larry map ambitious targets: reclaiming the House, netting Senate seats, governorships, and state houses, rattling off swing districts like Indiana 6th and Florida 8th. C.J. voices pragmatic skepticism on tough races, but Leo insists on investing effort anyway, transforming post-assassination sympathy into a calculated offensive strategy—a pivotal shift from damage control to electoral opportunism fraught with ethical undercurrents.

Plot Beats

The narrative micro-steps within this event

2

Leo confirms the unprecedented 81% approval rating, transitioning the conversation to strategic opportunities for reclaiming the House and gaining seats in the Senate and governorships.

curiosity to strategic focus

Ed and Larry outline key districts and states where Democrats could gain ground, with C.J. injecting realism about unlikely wins, prompting Leo to push forward despite doubts.

optimism to pragmatic determination

Who Was There

Characters present in this moment

4
C.J. Cregg
primary

Sardonic caution tempering opportunistic surge

Seated at table, authoritatively cites CNN/USA Today as source validating 81% rating against internals doubt, later voices pragmatic skepticism on Florida 8th/9th electability, grounding hype in electoral reality.

Goals in this moment
  • Legitimize poll data with external proof
  • Highlight risks in overreaching district targets
Active beliefs
  • Post-shooting sympathy inflates polls temporarily
  • Florida districts resist Democratic flips
Character traits
sarcastic realistic communicative
Follow C.J. Cregg's journey

Skeptical yet affirming, leveraging data for persuasion

Seated participant who counters softness by delivering precise 61% Bartlet-vs-Republican leaders matchup data, bolstering strategic rationale amid President's overview request.

Goals in this moment
  • Undercut poll softness narrative with head-to-head stats
  • Support shift to offensive midterm posture
Active beliefs
  • Bartlet's personal favorability trumps party dynamics
  • Sympathy polls still yield tactical edges
Character traits
analytical skeptical precise
Follow Sam Seaborn's journey

Stubborn skepticism amid rising optimism

Reiterates persistent 'soft' poll caution post-C.J.'s verification and Leo's surprise, anchoring earlier dialogue thread without further expansion in strategy pivot.

Goals in this moment
  • Maintain realism on poll volatility
  • Temper premature midterm euphoria
Active beliefs
  • Approval spikes from tragedy are fleeting
  • Overreliance risks ethical compromises
Character traits
persistent cautious idealistic
Follow Toby Ziegler's journey

amused

Enters with Leo, engages in playful banter about 'acalculia', requests overview of polls and midterm strategy

Goals in this moment
  • Receive briefing on approval ratings and midterm electoral opportunities
Character traits
protective resolute self-aware principled
Follow Josiah Bartlet's journey

Location Details

Places and their significance in this event

1
Roosevelt Room (Mural Room — West Wing meeting room)

Hosts charged strategy huddle around conference table where senior staff dissects post-assassination 81% polls, maps swing districts, and commits to electoral pushes—transforming shock into calculated offense in the heart of White House power.

Atmosphere Electrified optimism laced with pragmatic skepticism and banter residue
Function strategy meeting room
Symbolism Embodies institutional pivot from crisis to conquest
Access Restricted to President, Chief of Staff, and core advisors
Central conference table for all seated Intimate enclosure fostering candid tactical debate

Organizations Involved

Institutional presence and influence

2
CNN–USA Today (joint venture between CNN and USA Today)

Invoked by C.J. as gold-standard source for 81% approval validation, shattering internal doubts and propelling Roosevelt Room from trivia banter to midterm conquest mapping, their data weaponizing public sympathy.

Representation Through cited CNN/USA Today poll headlines
Power Dynamics External validator dictating White House strategic tempo
Impact Accelerates opportunistic pivot in polarized election cycle
Deliver timely post-crisis public sentiment snapshots Shape national discourse via rapid polling Published numeric benchmarks Media credibility forcing action
Republican Congressional Candidates

Framed as chief adversaries via Sam's 61% Bartlet matchup and targeted swing districts (e.g., Florida 8th), galvanizing Democratic resolve to assault their House stronghold amid post-shooting momentum.

Representation Through referenced congressional leaders and district incumbents
Power Dynamics Defensive targets under Democratic offensive siege
Impact Heightens zero-sum midterm trench warfare stakes
Retain House majority against sympathy surge Counter Democratic midterm opportunism Incumbent entrenchment in key districts Party-wide resistance narrative

Narrative Connections

How this event relates to others in the story

What led here 1
NARRATIVELY_FOLLOWS

"Toby's announcement of the 81% approval rating leads into Leo's confirmation and strategic discussion about reclaiming the House."

Bartlet's Trivia Deflates 81% Poll Skepticism
S2E3 · The Midterms
What this causes 1
NARRATIVELY_FOLLOWS

"Toby's announcement of the 81% approval rating leads into Leo's confirmation and strategic discussion about reclaiming the House."

Bartlet's Trivia Deflates 81% Poll Skepticism
S2E3 · The Midterms

Key Dialogue

"LEO: "Did we really poll at 81%?" C.J.: "Those aren't internals. It's CNN, USA Today.""
"ED: "Mr. President, we got a honest to god shot at taking back the House." LARRY: "Taking back the house and possibly picking up two seats net in the Senate.""
"C.J.: "They're not going to elect a democrat in the Florida 9th." LARRY: "I'm sorry Florida 8th." LEO: "They're not going to elect a democrat there, either. But let's put some time into it. What else?""